Warning

HIV PrEP Suitability and Risk Assessment in Scotland 

This guidance is derived from the PrEP Suitability and Risk Assessment section of the BHIVA/BASHH UK National Guidelines on the use of HIV Pre-exposure prophylaxis (HIV PrEP). Used with permission.  

Download/print copy of the NHS Scotland PrEP suitability guidance

Recommendations

These recommendations have been assessed using the GRADE system

Who should be offered PrEP? 

We recommend that PrEP should be offered to people, regardless of their gender or sexual orientation who would benefit from a reduction in HIV risk* including:  

  • people who request PrEP (2B
  • people with an increased probability of HIV acquisition*(1A/1B depending on group) 
  • people who, regardless of gender or sexual orientation, are likely to have condomless anal or vaginal sex with people with an increased probability  of HIV acquisition (2B
  • people who inject drugs who might share injecting equipment (1A

*defined as where the probability of HIV acquisition is likely to be in excess of the background UK population and where benefit outweighs clinical risk of PrEP1-3

When should PrEP be prescribed? 

We recommend that PrEP should be prescribed for people in whom it is suitable as soon as HIV risk is identified as benefit is immediate and toxicity is uncommon and delayed. (1A)  

Good practice points

PrEP offer: We suggest that PrEP should be considered in people identifying or identified as having increased probability  of HIV acquisition. For example, where HIV testing is performed, or an individual presents for regular or emergency contraception or STI testing.

Reviewing PrEP risk/benefit: We suggest that there is ongoing consideration and review of risk and benefit as this can change over time.  

Assessment of PrEP suitability: We suggest that assessment of HIV and STI risk and suitability for PrEP should be integrated into the broader sexual and reproductive health context. People who could benefit from PrEP will be encountered in community healthcare, general practice, and sexual and reproductive health services. HIV risk may become apparent in the context of care related to contraception, pregnancy or abortion, or in the emergency setting in the context of HIV testing or PEPSE provision. This particularly applies to women and other people who would benefit from a reduction in HIV risk but do not attend sexual health services. It also includes people in whom HIV or STI testing is stigmatised or who had not previously considered HIV risk.  

Evidence summary

Risks and benefits of PrEP 

The benefits of PrEP are rapid and substantial. Therefore, with only uncommon exceptions, PrEP should be initiated in people who request it or who identify or are identified as having an increased probability of HIV acquisition, as defined above. PrEP is a key part of transmission elimination strategies in the UK and globally1,4-6. PrEP is well-tolerated and current evidence suggests that any toxicities are delayed, uncommon, specific and reversible in the context of adequate monitoring as outlined in the UK PrEP Guidelines (Chapters 4,6 & 7)7,8 

 

The move away from trial eligibility criteria 

Focussing on eligibility criteria for clinical trials makes it difficult to fully identify the range of individuals who would benefit from PrEP, particularly those with an increased probability  of HIV acquisition due to their partners’ sexual behaviour, or those who do not initially report risk. Eligibility criteria are often determined by clinical trial design and do not represent an evidence base for the limits of risk-benefit assessments. While defining these limits helps to identify people who would benefit from PrEP, caution should be exercised to ensure that people are not excluded. A wider range of population–level and individual level indicators are appropriate to ensure that PrEP reaches all those who could benefit.

 

Population groups with the greatest demonstrated clinical benefit of PrEP  

The decision to offer or initiate PrEP is informed by sexual and or drug use history and risks that have occurred in the preceding months or are likely to occur in the following months.  

Evidence of PrEP benefit is greatest for men who have sex with men, trans women who have sex with men who report receptive condomless anal sex and people who report condomless vaginal or anal sex with an HIV positive partner without viral suppression.  

People in one or more of the following groups are also likely to benefit from PrEP: people who have sexualised drug use (chemsex), people who have condomless anal or vaginal sex with a partner of unknown HIV status where their partner or the person themselves is a man who has sex with men and or from a country with a high HIV prevalence, people who inject drugs who share injecting equipment or who have multiple factors including through sex9.

 

When should PrEP be offered?  

PrEP is suitable for most people who request it and, in almost all situations, offering and initiating PrEP to those who request it is appropriate. Exceptions include where the individual probability of HIV acquisition is not higher than that of the background UK population or where clinical risk of PrEP outweighs benefit7,8. Wherever clinicians or other health workers are reviewing the risk of sexually transmitted infection (STI), including HIV, or discussing contraception with a patient, the suitability for PrEP should be considered. These situations include when an HIV test or other STI tests are offered or the results reviewed, when an STI is diagnosed or treated, when partner notification occurs, when PEPSE is initiated or reviewed and in many contraception and other sexual and reproductive health consultations. In people for whom transmission risk is difficult to ascertain and/or who have an elevated risk of PrEP toxicity, expert advice or MDT discussion may be appropriate to determine the appropriate advice to the individual. 

People with anxiety about HIV transmission that seems greater than their objective probability  of HIV acquisition  may request PrEP. Longitudinal risk may be greater or less than initially reported and PrEP is very safe in the context of regular monitoring, particularly in the short term while longitudinal risk is being assessed. Although people who take PrEP gain significant relief of anxiety and psychological distress, recommendations on PrEP benefit should be based on probability  of HIV acquisition. Referral for ongoing discussion and support or to psychological services, if relevant, should be considered for people whose anxiety is disproportionate to their reported risk of HIV acquisition.   

PrEP is not indicated for people who only have sex with a person/people living with HIV on ART with viral load <200 copies/ml as the risk of HIV transmission is zero. It is important that PrEP information, education and individual discussions do not inadvertently undermine U=U messages and contribute to HIV stigma.  

 

Note 

*Scottish population-level data showed that any recent bacterial STI (not solely rectal) in GBMSM was a predictor of HIV seroconversion.  

 

 

Indicators or factors associated with suitability for PrEP

Population level indicators:

  • Gay, bisexual and other men who have sex with men (GBMSM) (1A)7,8
  • Black African men and women (1A)7,8
  • Transgender women (1A)7,8 
  • Recent migrants (1D)10
  • People who inject drugs (1A)7,8
  • People who report sex work or transactional sex (1A for MSM & TGW, FSW)7,8,11

Behavioural and personal indicators (2D):

  • Condomless anal or vaginal/frontal sex with one of the groups listed above. 
  • Condomless anal or vaginal/frontal sex where a sexual partner may have undiagnosed or untreated HIV infection (1A)12,13
  • Chemsex or group sex (1B for GBMSM) 
  • Injecting drug use using shared equipment (1A)7,8
  • Travel to countries with high HIV prevalence where sex with people from those countries is likely** 

Other clinical markers:

  • Other sexually transmitted infection (1C)
  • HCV infection (1C)9

Injecting drug use (1A):

  • Injecting in an unsafe setting, sharing injecting equipment or limited access to needle and syringe programmes (NSP) or opiate substitution treatment (OST). 
  • Sexual risk in people who use drugs. 

Reduced sexual health autonomy (2D):

  • Drug and alcohol use. 
  • Safeguarding, consent and vulnerability issues. 
  • Inability to negotiate and/or use condoms (or employ other HIV prevention methods) with sexual partners.  
  • Coercive and/or violent power dynamics in relationships (e.g. intimate partner/domestic violence).  
  • Precarious housing or homelessness, and/or other factors that may affect material circumstances.  
  • Risk of sexual exploitation and trafficking.  

** Factors known to be associated with HIV risk should prompt a consideration of PrEP and include population level indicators, clinical indicators (e.g. previous / current STIs and PEPSE use in GBMSM14, reported sexual behaviour / likely sexual behaviour and drug use and vulnerability factors affecting sexual autonomy. 

References

1. Scottish Government. Ending HIV Transmission in Scotland by 2030: HIV Transmission Elimination Delivery Plan 2023-26. Available from: https://www.gov.scot/publications/ending-hiv-transmission-scotland-2030-hiv-transmission-elimination-delivery-plan-2023-26/ 

2. UK Health Security Agency. HIV surveillance data in the UK: 2023. Available from: https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/hiv-annual-data-tables.

3. Public Health Scotland. HIV in Scotland: update to 31 December 2022. September 2023. Available from: HIV in Scotland: update to 31 December 2022 - HIV in Scotland - Publications - Public Health Scotland 

4. Australian Government Department of Health. Eighth National HIV Strategy 2018-2020. 2018. Available from: https://www1.health.gov.au/internet/main/publishing.nsf/Content/ohp-bbvs-1/$File/HIV-Eight-Nat-Strategy-2018-22.pdf.

5. NSW Health. NSW HIV Strategy 2021-2025 Sydney:2022. Available from: http://www.health.nsw.gov.au/endinghiv/Publications.

6. Nandwani R EC, Hutchinson S. Steedman N, on behalf of the Scottish HIV Transmission Elimination Oversight Group (HiTEOG). Ending HIV transmission in Scotland by 2030. November 2022. Available from: https://www.gov.scot/publications/ending-hiv-transmission-scotland-2030/

7. Pilkington V, Hill A, Hughes S, Nwokolo N, Pozniak A. How safe is TDF/FTC as PrEP? A systematic review and meta-analysis of the risk of adverse events in 13 randomised trials of PrEP. J Virus Erad. 2018;4(4):215-24. Available from: https://nhs.primo.exlibrisgroup.com/permalink/44NHSS_INST/nf660i/cdi_pubmedcentral_primary_oai_pubmedcentral_nih_gov_6248833

8. E OM, Marshall L, Teljeur C, Harrington P, Hayes C, Moran P, Ryan M. Oral pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) to prevent HIV: a systematic review and meta-analysis of clinical effectiveness, safety, adherence and risk compensation in all populations. BMJ Open. 2022;12(5):e048478. Available from: https://nhs.primo.exlibrisgroup.com/permalink/44NHSS_INST/nf660i/cdi_doaj_primary_oai_doaj_org_article_f60e9c336b964c25a5a7063229f0e9bd

9. Palfreeman A, Sullivan A, Rayment M, Waters L, Buckley A, Burns F, et al. British HIV Association/British Association for Sexual Health and HIV/British Infection Association adult HIV testing guidelines 2020. HIV Med. 2020;21 Suppl 6:1-26. Available from: https://nhs.primo.exlibrisgroup.com/permalink/44NHSS_INST/nf660i/cdi_proquest_miscellaneous_2471463558

10. Grimshaw C, Estcourt CS, Nandwani R, Yeung A, Henderson D, Saunders JM. Implementation of a national HIV pre-exposure prophylaxis service is associated with changes in characteristics of people with newly diagnosed HIV: a retrospective cohort study. Sex Transm Infect. 2022;98(1):53-7. Available from: https://nhs.primo.exlibrisgroup.com/permalink/44NHSS_INST/nf660i/cdi_pubmedcentral_primary_oai_pubmedcentral_nih_gov_8785015

11. Brown A, Rawson S, Kelly C et al. Women and HIV in the UK: data to end of December 2017. Public Health England. Available from: https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/912615/Women_and_HIV_in_the_UK_2017.pdf

12. Bavinton BR, Jin F, Prestage G, Zablotska I, Koelsch KK, Phanuphak N, et al. The Opposites Attract Study of viral load, HIV treatment and HIV transmission in serodiscordant homosexual male couples: design and methods. BMC public health. 2014;14:917. Available from: https://nhs.primo.exlibrisgroup.com/permalink/44NHSS_INST/nf660i/cdi_pubmedcentral_primary_oai_pubmedcentral_nih_gov_4168197

13. Rodger AJ, Cambiano V, Bruun T, Vernazza P, Collins S, van Lunzen J, et al. Sexual Activity Without Condoms and Risk of HIV Transmission in Serodifferent Couples When the HIV-Positive Partner Is Using Suppressive Antiretroviral Therapy. JAMA. 2016;316(2):171-81. Available from: https://nhs.primo.exlibrisgroup.com/permalink/44NHSS_INST/nf660i/cdi_swepub_primary_oai_swepub_ki_se_503906

14. Estcourt C, Yeung A, Nandwani R, Goldberg D, Cullen B, Steedman N, et al. Population-level effectiveness of a national HIV preexposure prophylaxis programme in MSM. AIDS. 2021;35(4):665-73. Available from: https://nhs.primo.exlibrisgroup.com/permalink/44NHSS_INST/nf660i/cdi_pubmedcentral_primary_oai_pubmedcentral_nih_gov_7924973

 

Grade system

A Grade 1 recommendation is a strong recommendation to do (or not do) something, where benefits clearly outweigh risks (or vice versa) for most, if not all, patients. Most clinicians and patients would want to follow a strong recommendation unless there is a clear rationale for an alternative approach. A strong recommendation usually starts with the standard wording ‘We recommend’.  

A Grade 2 recommendation is a weaker or conditional recommendation, where the risks and benefits are more closely balanced or are more uncertain. Alternative approaches or strategies may be reasonable depending on the individual patient’s circumstances, preferences and values.  

The strength of a recommendation is determined not only by the quality of evidence for defined outcomes, but also the balance between desirable and undesirable effects of a treatment or intervention, differences in values and preferences, and where appropriate, resource use. Each recommendation concerns a defined target population and is actionable.  

The quality of evidence is graded from A to D and is defined as follows:  

Grade A evidence means high-quality evidence that comes from consistent results from well-performed randomised controlled trials (RCTs), or overwhelming evidence from another source (such as well- executed observational studies with consistent strong effects and exclusion of all potential sources of bias). Grade A implies confidence that the true effect lies close to the estimate of the effect.  

Grade B evidence means moderate-quality evidence from randomised trials that suffers from serious flaws in conduct, inconsistency, indirectness, imprecise estimates, reporting bias, or some combination of these limitations, or from other study designs with specific strengths such as observational studies with consistent effects and exclusion of the majority of the potential sources of bias.  

Grade C evidence is low-quality evidence from controlled trials with several serious limitations, or observational studies with limited evidence on effects and exclusion of most potential sources of bias.  

Grade D evidence is based only on case studies, expert judgement or observational studies with inconsistent effects and a potential for substantial bias, such that there can be little confidence in the effect estimate.  

Editorial Information

Last reviewed: 01/11/2025

Next review date: 30/09/2026

Author(s): N Medland, C Estcourt , DJ Clutterbuck .

Version: 2.0