FDG-PET
For predicting progression from MCI to clinically diagnosed AD, a high-quality systematic review from 2018 (studies published between 1999 and 2017) reported that diagnostic accuracy results for FDG-PET varied across studies (sensitivity 25% to 100% and specificity 15% to 100%). A systematic review from 2024, which included more up-to-date studies, reported that sensitivities in predicting progression from MCI to clinically or neuropathologically diagnosed dementia (mainly AD) ranged from 43% to 100%, and specificities from 63% to 94%. The wide range of values was due to heterogeneity between studies in how images were assessed, how studies were conducted and differences in study populations.
SPECT
For predicting the progression from MCI to AD, one lower-quality systematic review with meta-analyses evaluated the accuracy of SPECT and FDG-PET (studies published between 1998 and 2006). Five of the included studies were on FDG-PET and four were on SPECT. The authors reported that the sensitivity (81%) and specificity (74%) values for SPECT imaging were lower than the sensitivity (87%) and specificity (89%) values for FDG-PET. Limitations with the review mean that the results of the meta-analyses should be treated with caution.